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Player valuation

Currently browsing: Player valuation
  • 21 Jun 2018

    The value of a World Cup goal

    As James Rodriguez’s volleyed shot flew past Fernando Muslera in the Uruguay goal four years ago, the football world instinctively knew he had earned a move to one of Europe’s superclubs. Barely three weeks later, James was unveiled as a Real Madrid player, for a cost of €76m before his first pay cheque.

    We all know […]

  • 03 Aug 2017

    The value of Lukaku

    As an industry, one of our biggest challenges is determining value in the transfer market. Valuations are often done on gut feel, or skewed by recent deals (which in turn are often done on gut feel, and so on). We also know that having a smart starting point can have a strong impact on the […]

  • 11 May 2017

    The biggest bang for your buck

    Finding the balance between what we want and what we can afford is a key part of player recruitment. Often our grandiose summer plans are left unfulfilled by the time the new season arrives, with necessary compromise having thwarted our ambitions.

    But there are some simple things that we can do to maximise the performance returns […]

  • 01 Dec 2016

    The overvalued asset

    Imagine that this winter your squad had a player who you believed to be overvalued. Perhaps he’s a “Match of the Day player” who you suspect doesn’t contribute as much as his highlights suggest. He might be a defender who makes last-ditch tackles that only give away corners, or an ageing player who is enjoying […]

  • 24 Oct 2014

    A framework for squad evolution

    With 71 days until the January transfer window opens, many teams are beginning to tilt the blinds and assess their options. The winter window is very much ‘level 2’ in the game that is transfer dealings - gone are the summer comforts of infrequent matches and ample negotiating time; enter injuries, premium prices and an all-or-nothing approach.
  • 17 Sep 2014

    Why intuition need not be a dirty word in football analytics

    The incomparable Mike Goodman wrote an excellent summary of the state of analytics *ahem* over at Grantland last week. In giving us a snapshot of the current advances in football analytics, Goodman makes the crucial distinction between data and analytics. As a rule, the former tells you what happened, while the latter helps tell you what, to varying degrees, will likely happen.
  • 11 Sep 2014

    Counting the cost of the international break

    To Premier League and Championship clubs, the September international break is football’s version of adverts only 10 minutes into a TV programme. At the very moment the season is beginning to feel like we all remember it to be, it’s ripped from under us for 10 days and we’re not always sure if we’ll like what we see on the other side.