As James Rodriguez’s volleyed shot flew past Fernando Muslera in the Uruguay goal four years ago, the football world instinctively knew he had earned a move to one of Europe’s superclubs. Barely three weeks later, James was unveiled as a Real Madrid player, for a cost of €76m before his first pay cheque.
We all know […]
As an industry, one of our biggest challenges is determining value in the transfer market. Valuations are often done on gut feel, or skewed by recent deals (which in turn are often done on gut feel, and so on). We also know that having a smart starting point can have a strong impact on the […]
Finding the balance between what we want and what we can afford is a key part of player recruitment. Often our grandiose summer plans are left unfulfilled by the time the new season arrives, with necessary compromise having thwarted our ambitions.
But there are some simple things that we can do to maximise the performance returns […]
Imagine that this winter your squad had a player who you believed to be overvalued. Perhaps he’s a “Match of the Day player” who you suspect doesn’t contribute as much as his highlights suggest. He might be a defender who makes last-ditch tackles that only give away corners, or an ageing player who is enjoying […]
Now the summer window has closed and new signings are bedding in, it is a good time to reflect on the recent transfer activity. As well as the headline numbers, the variation in fees paid for similar players has given us pause for thought.
So how do we know that c. £33m is a fair price […]
- With 71 days until the January transfer window opens, many teams are beginning to tilt the blinds and assess their options. The winter window is very much ‘level 2’ in the game that is transfer dealings - gone are the summer comforts of infrequent matches and ample negotiating time; enter injuries, premium prices and an all-or-nothing approach.
- The incomparable Mike Goodman wrote an excellent summary of the state of analytics *ahem* over at Grantland last week. In giving us a snapshot of the current advances in football analytics, Goodman makes the crucial distinction between data and analytics. As a rule, the former tells you what happened, while the latter helps tell you what, to varying degrees, will likely happen.
- To Premier League and Championship clubs, the September international break is football’s version of adverts only 10 minutes into a TV programme. At the very moment the season is beginning to feel like we all remember it to be, it’s ripped from under us for 10 days and we’re not always sure if we’ll like what we see on the other side.