As the dust settles from another chaotic transfer period, it’s important to assess how things went during the window. While it may take some time to evaluate our new signings, it is possible to evaluate our processes: the steps that led to all the bids, negotiations, and deals done.
In our own review of the […]
We know from our research that, in the long run, managerial changes on average make little difference to the performance of a team. That isn’t to say, however, that smart hires can’t turn a struggling team around.
When we look through our database of managers who did improve performance in their first 20 matches in charge, […]
At this time of year, it is worth remembering that there is a sizeable disconnect between the number of transfer rumours reported, and the number of trades that actually occur.
One simple explanation for this is that the level of evidence required to legitimately report a ‘rumour’ is very low. Another is that the rumours may […]
Imagine that this winter your squad had a player who you believed to be overvalued. Perhaps he’s a “Match of the Day player” who you suspect doesn’t contribute as much as his highlights suggest. He might be a defender who makes last-ditch tackles that only give away corners, or an ageing player who is enjoying […]
Implicit in all the decisions around player trading and youth promotion is a prediction about the depth of squad needed to compete during the season. Some clubs hope to go deep in all competitions, others are content at prioritising the league.
Given the average footballer’s annual pay is a deeply material cost to the club, it […]
Now the summer window has closed and new signings are bedding in, it is a good time to reflect on the recent transfer activity. As well as the headline numbers, the variation in fees paid for similar players has given us pause for thought.
So how do we know that c. £33m is a fair price […]
- Problem-solving in football has become synonymous with money. If results aren’t good enough, cheques will be signed for new players and coaching staff, with cheaper and weaker recycled for dearer and perceivably stronger.But how often is there a benefit to all this cost? Have teams going through these same processes improved or simply gone in circles?
- With 71 days until the January transfer window opens, many teams are beginning to tilt the blinds and assess their options. The winter window is very much ‘level 2’ in the game that is transfer dealings - gone are the summer comforts of infrequent matches and ample negotiating time; enter injuries, premium prices and an all-or-nothing approach.
- Last week, the head of technical scouting at Leicester City FC Rob Mackenzie published a series of Tweets on methods clubs still use to recruit players, which have little to do with empirical assessment and a lot to do with “who you know.”
- Ten years from now it will seem incredible that, for all the wealth enjoyed by top flight football clubs in England via ever-increasing television rights deals and commercial sponsorships, few of them afforded themselves one of the most valuable luxuries to any successful team: time. As part of @21stClub's future of football series, @RWhittall explores how the director of football will become commonplace amongst future successful teams...