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Team Performance

Currently browsing: Team Performance
  • 13 Jul 2018

    We shouldn’t be here

    So France vs Croatia it is. For France, it’s three World Cup finals in six tournaments, a mightily impressive feat. Croatia meanwhile become the smallest nation to reach a World Cup final since Uruguay in 1950, a fitting reward for a golden generation. Our model gives France a 62% chance of lifting the trophy.

    Both countries, […]

  • 05 Jul 2018

    Predict the unpredictable

    Football never ceases to surprise us, and this World Cup has been no different. The early eliminations of Spain and Germany have been in keeping with a tournament that has been much more competitive than many thought.

    When we published our pre-tournament forecast last month, like everyone else we made Brazil, Germany and Spain among the […]

  • 29 Jun 2018

    The German question

    Fill in the blank: Germany are the _________-best team in the world.

    It might seem like a trivial question after they’ve been eliminated from the World Cup – who cares how good they are if they aren’t going to win it? But in the coming days and weeks there will be debates and discussions about the […]

  • 17 May 2018

    Was Arsène Wenger unlucky?

    Arsène Wenger’s postmortem had already been written years before he actually announced his departure from Arsenal. As the conventional wisdom goes, he had an excellent first 8 seasons, winning 3 league titles, but then lost his way and was never again able to make Arsenal credible contenders for the league title.

    However, here at 21st Club […]

  • 29 Mar 2018

    Pass and move

    In terms of on-field output, there are broadly two things a team can try and control: how they play, and how well they play. Unfortunately, as we all know, one is harder to influence than the other.

    We often feel that making a strategic decision to change our team’s playing style can have a significant and […]

  • 22 Mar 2018

    Our 12th man

    We all know that making our home stadium a ‘fortress’ can go a long way to achieving our objectives for the season. A part of that is having supporters who will get behind the team to both motivate our own players and intimidate opponents.

    The impact our fans can have is hard to quantify, and while […]

  • 08 Mar 2018

    The perils of day trading

    Day to day, the market valuation of a stock can fluctuate up and down like a yo-yo. Take Bitcoin right now. Whether the cryptocurrency will be up or down tomorrow is anyone’s guess, such is the sentiment volatility towards the relatively new form of exchange.

    For traders, it can be addictive. The emotional rollercoaster of something […]

  • 01 Mar 2018

    Attack, attack, attack

    Last Wednesday, Roma led 1-0 at half time against Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League. Their coach Eusebio di Francesco urged his team to continue attacking; not only had they outshot the Ukranians 9-4, they’d created by far the better chances. Roma had an opportunity to put the tie to bed.

    Within seven second half minutes […]

  • 15 Feb 2018

    It never evens out

    We’re often told that luck will even out over a season. After all, a year is a long time, and it seems absurd that one team would repeatedly have things go their way or against them.

    However, this misunderstands the true nature of ‘luck’. True luck, or randomness, is blind to what happened before, and can […]

  • 16 Nov 2017

    A temperature check

    If you wanted to go somewhere warm on holiday, which city would you choose: New York or Sydney?

    While Sydney is 6 degrees hotter on average over a year, no one would buy flights to Australia on this information alone. New York City is warmer from May to September, and Sydney warmer for the rest of […]